Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
184.96 – 103.76
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
232 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 49.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 389.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 144Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 28.41Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 12.55Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.6 ±11
Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 46.57Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 8Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 49.19Rank 13Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5895, 8117, 1279
79
/ 100 compatProjected
185 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5895, 8117, 1279
Auto
31.2 17%
Teleop
115.0 62%
Endgame
38.7 21%
Strengths
- · 5895 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8706, 10995, 4285
59
/ 100 compatProjected
103.8 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 8706, 10995, 4285
Auto
29.7 28%
Teleop
64.3 62%
Endgame
10.3 10%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score185pts
Blue projected score103.8pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 81.2
- Score range
- 85–204
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
389.2Season APEX341.6
31.2Auto29.7
115Teleop64.3
38.7Endgame10.3
41Consistency108
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 38 | 19 |
| teleop | 132 | 20 |
| endgame | 47 | 13 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 232 | 52 |
Result
Final score
232 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 49.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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