Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

97.33 – 79.49

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

104 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 5.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 469.4 ±9.8

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX -9.18Rank 18Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 30.89Rank 13Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 75.62Rank 4Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.4 ±11.6

219Team Impact

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 29.48Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 31.15Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9116The Canucks & Bolts

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 18.86Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1672, 4285, 3637

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1672, 4285, 3637

Auto

35.5 38%

Teleop

42.6 46%

Endgame

14.5 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 219, 8117, 9116

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 219, 8117, 9116

Auto

-17.6 0%

Teleop

75.7 100%

Endgame

15.4 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.3pts

Blue projected score79.5pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.8
Score range: 59–117
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 179 vs event baseline 108.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

469.4Season APEX189.4

35.5Auto-17.6

42.6Teleop75.7

14.5Endgame15.4

60Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	2
teleop	65	44
endgame	8	19
foul	0	10
total	104	75

Result

Final score

104 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 5.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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