Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

11.2 – 263.69

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 390

Prediction correct · off by 81.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 126.9 ±11.6

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 22.54Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6016Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -9.55Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10995ACS Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX -1.79Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 628.3 ±9.9

5992Pirates

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 20.2Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 99.53Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 143.96Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9015, 6016, 10995

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.2 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9015, 6016, 10995

Auto

20.1 100%

Teleop

1.0 10%

Endgame

-11.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5992, 5895, 8513

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5992, 5895, 8513

Auto

64.0 24%

Teleop

173.0 66%

Endgame

25.4 10%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.32 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score11.2pts

Blue projected score263.7pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -252.5
Score range: -8–283
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 438 vs event baseline 107.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

126.9Season APEX628.3

20.1Auto64

1Teleop173

-11.5Endgame25.4

86Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	86
teleop	20	231
endgame	7	73
foul	0	0
total	48	390

Result

Final score

48 – 390

Prediction correct · off by 81.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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