Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.38 – 109.28

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

20 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.5 ±11.7

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 30.2Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1279Cold Fusion

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX -2.89Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

752Chargers

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX 22.07Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271.4 ±11

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 32.55Rank 13Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

41RoboWarriors

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 35.38Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3142Aperture

Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 41.35Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9015, 1279, 752

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9015, 1279, 752

Auto

-0.1 0%

Teleop

31.8 72%

Endgame

12.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4285, 41, 3142

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4285, 41, 3142

Auto

10.9 11%

Teleop

68.5 66%

Endgame

24.4 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.4pts

Blue projected score109.3pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.9
Score range: 29–129
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 88 vs event baseline 109.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

135.5Season APEX271.4

-0.1Auto10.9

31.8Teleop68.5

12.6Endgame24.4

39Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	16
teleop	16	42
endgame	0	10
foul	0	0
total	20	68

Result

Final score

20 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.