Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

136.58 – 71.41

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

253 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 70 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 636.7 ±9.3

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 68.76Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 17.23Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 50.59Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.1 ±11.7

8707The Newark Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 17.05Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5992Pirates

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 27.53Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 26.83Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5895, 222, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5895, 222, 11

Auto

31.0 22%

Teleop

80.2 58%

Endgame

27.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8707, 5992, 1676

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8707, 5992, 1676

Auto

14.9 20%

Teleop

40.2 53%

Endgame

20.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score136.6pts

Blue projected score71.4pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.2
Score range: 52–156
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 348 vs event baseline 106.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

636.7Season APEX313.1

31Auto14.9

80.2Teleop40.2

27Endgame20.8

204Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	8
teleop	172	53
endgame	34	34
foul	0	0
total	253	95

Result

Final score

253 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 70 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.