Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
12.54 – 273.63
4%96%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
39 – 298
Prediction correct · off by 25.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 4.65Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX -16.97Rank 18Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 24.86Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 667.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 147.09Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -15.26Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 141.8Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1811, 1672, 8117
5
/ 100 compatProjected
12.5 pts
~0.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1811, 1672, 8117
Auto
27.4 100%
Teleop
2.3 14%
Endgame
-13.0 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 316, 6016, 8513
84
/ 100 compatProjected
273.6 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 316, 6016, 8513
Auto
58.5 22%
Teleop
164.0 62%
Endgame
40.9 16%
Strengths
- · 316 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.36 · Blue 2.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score12.5pts
Blue projected score273.6pts
Red win probability4%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -261.1
- Score range
- -5–292
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
191.2Season APEX667.9
27.4Auto58.5
2.3Teleop164
-13Endgame40.9
1Consistency104
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 41 |
| teleop | 16 | 190 |
| endgame | 14 | 67 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 39 | 298 |
Result
Final score
39 – 298
Prediction correct · off by 25.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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