Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.26 – 105.63

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 24.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.1 ±12.2

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 51.84Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

219Team Impact

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 10.94Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8771PioTech

Season APEX 36.8Event APEX -11.52Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.3 ±11.7

430MORT GAMMA

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 1.36Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4361Roxbotix

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 43.19Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 61.08Rank 4Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8706, 219, 8771

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8706, 219, 8771

Auto

21.7 42%

Teleop

20.1 39%

Endgame

10.1 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 430, 4361, 3637

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 430, 4361, 3637

Auto

32.9 31%

Teleop

37.5 36%

Endgame

35.2 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.3pts

Blue projected score105.6pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.4
Score range: 33–124
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 102.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.1Season APEX316.3

21.7Auto32.9

20.1Teleop37.5

10.1Endgame35.2

58Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	13
teleop	60	37
endgame	18	56
foul	5	0
total	99	106

Result

Final score

99 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 24.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.