Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

22.35 – 131.44

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 9.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 178.5 ±12.2

752Chargers

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX 25.6Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10995ACS Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX -6.98Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 3.73Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.9 ±11.2

41RoboWarriors

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 44.86Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8707The Newark Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 19.22Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 67.36Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 752, 10995, 555

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 752, 10995, 555

Auto

-0.5 0%

Teleop

22.8 91%

Endgame

2.8 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 41, 8707, 5895

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 41, 8707, 5895

Auto

11.6 9%

Teleop

94.9 74%

Endgame

21.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score22.4pts

Blue projected score131.4pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.1
Score range: 3–150
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 172 vs event baseline 103.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

178.5Season APEX379.9

-0.5Auto11.6

22.8Teleop94.9

2.8Endgame21.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	39
teleop	11	78
endgame	10	19
foul	0	0
total	36	136

Result

Final score

36 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 9.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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