Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
41.58 – 143.99
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
42 – 71
Prediction correct · off by 36.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 137.7 ±11.6
Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 33.17Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 23.86Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -15.45Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 57Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 41.7Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 45.29Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6945, 8117, 6016
44
/ 100 compatProjected
41.6 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6945, 8117, 6016
Auto
9.4 23%
Teleop
24.0 58%
Endgame
8.2 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9116, 1676, 9015
72
/ 100 compatProjected
144 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9116, 1676, 9015
Auto
8.5 6%
Teleop
110.4 79%
Endgame
20.9 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.72 · Blue 1.91
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score41.6pts
Blue projected score144pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 24%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -102.4
- Score range
- 23–163
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
137.7Season APEX317.9
9.4Auto8.5
24Teleop110.4
8.2Endgame20.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 0 |
| teleop | 17 | 38 |
| endgame | 2 | 33 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 42 | 71 |
Result
Final score
42 – 71
Prediction correct · off by 36.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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