Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

349.17 – 147.43

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

274 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 710.6 ±9.3

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 196.73Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 7.94Rank 18Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 144.5Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 625.4 ±9.3

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 17.32Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 63.81Rank 4Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 66.3Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 316, 1672, 8513

/ 100 compat

Projected

349.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 316, 1672, 8513

Auto

87.4 26%

Teleop

178.0 53%

Endgame

68.4 20%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 555, 3637, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 555, 3637, 11

Auto

22.0 16%

Teleop

85.9 61%

Endgame

32.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score349.2pts

Blue projected score147.4pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 201.7
Score range: 126–370
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 118.9.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

710.6Season APEX625.4

87.4Auto22

178Teleop85.9

68.4Endgame32.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	24
teleop	149	84
endgame	99	42
foul	15	0
total	274	150

Result

Final score

274 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 pts

Match videos

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