Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

360.64 – 155.41

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 90 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 710.6 ±9.3

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 200.66Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 11.52Rank 18Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 148.46Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 625.4 ±9.3

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 20.15Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 65.94Rank 4Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 69.32Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 316, 1672, 8513

/ 100 compat

Projected

360.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 316, 1672, 8513

Auto

91.3 26%

Teleop

186.4 54%

Endgame

68.2 20%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 555, 3637, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 555, 3637, 11

Auto

23.5 16%

Teleop

93.6 64%

Endgame

30.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score360.6pts

Blue projected score155.4pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 205.2
Score range: 134–382
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 336 vs event baseline 118.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

710.6Season APEX625.4

91.3Auto23.5

186.4Teleop93.6

68.2Endgame30.1

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	8
teleop	115	14
endgame	70	50
foul	20	0
total	264	72

Result

Final score

264 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 90 pts

Match videos

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