Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.51 – 151.51

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

253 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 44.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.6 ±9.3

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 2.29Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 111.85Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 110.37Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 609.2 ±9.9

834SparTechs

Season APEX 86Event APEX 8.11Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 79.71Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 63.69Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9416, 103, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9416, 103, 9094

Auto

31.7 14%

Teleop

147.1 66%

Endgame

42.7 19%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 834, 1391, 1640

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 834, 1391, 1640

Auto

32.1 22%

Teleop

95.6 65%

Endgame

20.2 14%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score224.5pts

Blue projected score151.5pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73
Score range: 132–245
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 465 vs event baseline 108.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.6Season APEX609.2

31.7Auto32.1

147.1Teleop95.6

42.7Endgame20.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	48
teleop	148	121
endgame	50	43
foul	5	0
total	253	212

Result

Final score

253 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 44.5 pts

Match videos

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