Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

263.44 – 135.05

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

167 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 517.9 ±9.5

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 12.03Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 90.18Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 161.23Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.7 ±10.4

5401Fightin' Robotic Owls

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 40.92Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2554The Warhawks

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 7.55Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 86.58Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5732, 1218, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 1218, 190

Auto

48.9 20%

Teleop

146.4 59%

Endgame

52.9 21%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5401, 2554, 7587

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5401, 2554, 7587

Auto

17.8 14%

Teleop

74.5 58%

Endgame

35.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score263.4pts

Blue projected score135.1pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 128.4
Score range: 116–282
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 301 vs event baseline 108.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

517.9Season APEX296.7

48.9Auto17.8

146.4Teleop74.5

52.9Endgame35.7

0Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	21
teleop	93	77
endgame	61	36
foul	0	0
total	167	134

Result

Final score

167 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 pts

Match videos

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