Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.8 – 79.5

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.7 ±10.4

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 20.14Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 23.43Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 24.23Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.3 ±10.5

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 29.73Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2722Charge Robotics

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 19.29Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5789The Other Owls

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 30.48Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1712, 10157, 1923

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1712, 10157, 1923

Auto

17.2 27%

Teleop

28.5 44%

Endgame

19.2 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1807, 2722, 5789

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1807, 2722, 5789

Auto

18.8 24%

Teleop

32.3 41%

Endgame

27.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.8pts

Blue projected score79.5pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -11.7
Score range: 49–99
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 108.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.7Season APEX323.3

17.2Auto18.8

28.5Teleop32.3

19.2Endgame27.8

13Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	23
teleop	23	68
endgame	11	51
foul	0	0
total	60	142

Result

Final score

60 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.