Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

226.79 – 65.47

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

209 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.6 ±9.3

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 3.62Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 112.16Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 111.01Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.7 ±10.4

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 19.29Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 22.62Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 23.56Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9416, 103, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9416, 103, 9094

Auto

30.5 14%

Teleop

147.0 66%

Endgame

46.7 21%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1712, 10157, 1923

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1712, 10157, 1923

Auto

16.2 26%

Teleop

28.1 46%

Endgame

17.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score226.8pts

Blue projected score65.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.3
Score range: 45–247
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 284 vs event baseline 108.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.6Season APEX293.7

30.5Auto16.2

147Teleop28.1

46.7Endgame17.4

12Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	22
teleop	143	28
endgame	24	25
foul	5	0
total	209	75

Result

Final score

209 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 pts

Match videos

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