Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

292.68 – 58.59

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

156 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 77.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 517.9 ±9.5

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 21.95Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 99.47Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 171.26Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.3 ±12.7

2720Red Watch Robotics

Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 15.28Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8714Robo Griffins'

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 14.53Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1257Parallel Universe

Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 28.78Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5732, 1218, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

292.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 1218, 190

Auto

51.9 18%

Teleop

171.6 59%

Endgame

66.1 23%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2720, 8714, 1257

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.6 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2720, 8714, 1257

Auto

10.5 19%

Teleop

31.3 56%

Endgame

13.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score292.7pts

Blue projected score58.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 234.1
Score range: 39–313
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 196 vs event baseline 108.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

517.9Season APEX137.3

51.9Auto10.5

171.6Teleop31.3

66.1Endgame13.6

0Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	19
teleop	54	12
endgame	0	9
foul	60	0
total	156	40

Result

Final score

156 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 77.6 pts

Match videos

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