Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

171.62 – 135.19

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

197 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.2 ±11.4

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 8.9Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8704Void Warranty

Season APEX 24.6Event APEX 4.31Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 158.41Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.7 ±10.4

5401Fightin' Robotic Owls

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 41.13Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2554The Warhawks

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 6.99Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 87.07Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5732, 8704, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 8704, 190

Auto

40.7 25%

Teleop

86.0 52%

Endgame

37.3 23%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5401, 2554, 7587

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5401, 2554, 7587

Auto

25.2 19%

Teleop

72.8 56%

Endgame

32.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score171.6pts

Blue projected score135.2pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.4
Score range: 115–192
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 112.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.2Season APEX296.7

40.7Auto25.2

86Teleop72.8

37.3Endgame32.6

0Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	31
teleop	92	37
endgame	53	67
foul	0	0
total	197	135

Result

Final score

197 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 pts

Match videos

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