Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

159.55 – 226.91

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

218 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.2 ±11.4

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 5.3Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8704Void Warranty

Season APEX 24.6Event APEX -0.34Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 154.59Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 596.6 ±9.3

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 3.08Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 112.59Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 111.24Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5732, 8704, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 8704, 190

Auto

37.5 25%

Teleop

78.7 52%

Endgame

34.1 23%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9416, 103, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9416, 103, 9094

Auto

33.9 15%

Teleop

145.7 65%

Endgame

43.8 20%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score159.6pts

Blue projected score226.9pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67.4
Score range: 140–247
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 443 vs event baseline 111.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.2Season APEX596.6

37.5Auto33.9

78.7Teleop145.7

34.1Endgame43.8

1Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	34
teleop	110	102
endgame	52	89
foul	0	0
total	218	225

Result

Final score

218 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.