Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
160.25 – 51.66
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
212 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 26.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 609.2 ±9.9
Season APEX 86Event APEX 11.12Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 82.54Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 66.59Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.3 ±12.7
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 13.58Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 14.18Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 23.9Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 834, 1391, 1640
76
/ 100 compatProjected
160.3 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 834, 1391, 1640
Auto
34.0 22%
Teleop
99.3 63%
Endgame
23.9 15%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2720, 8714, 1257
43
/ 100 compatProjected
51.7 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2720, 8714, 1257
Auto
12.5 25%
Teleop
25.3 51%
Endgame
11.7 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 0.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score160.3pts
Blue projected score51.7pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 108.6
- Score range
- 32–180
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
609.2Season APEX137.3
34Auto12.5
99.3Teleop25.3
23.9Endgame11.7
0Consistency25
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 26 |
| teleop | 173 | 16 |
| endgame | 8 | 3 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 212 | 50 |
Result
Final score
212 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 26.7 pts
Match videos
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