Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
48.04 – 125.35
28%72%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
41 – 49
Prediction correct · off by 41.7 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 8.41Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 0.2Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 9.6Event APEX 39.43Rank 32Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 24.6Event APEX 58.57Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 47.83Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 18.95Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 365, 5732, 4637
46
/ 100 compatProjected
48 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 365, 5732, 4637
Auto
6.6 14%
Teleop
28.3 60%
Endgame
12.5 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8704, 7587, 1647
78
/ 100 compatProjected
125.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 8704, 7587, 1647
Auto
24.1 19%
Teleop
75.8 60%
Endgame
26.2 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.82
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score48pts
Blue projected score125.4pts
Red win probability28%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -77.3
- Score range
- 30–143
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
156.5Season APEX167.7
6.6Auto24.1
28.3Teleop75.8
12.5Endgame26.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 0 | 9 |
| teleop | 20 | 22 |
| endgame | 16 | 18 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 41 | 49 |
Result
Final score
41 – 49
Prediction correct · off by 41.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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