Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
93.31 – 87.33
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
81 – 197
Prediction missed · off by 61 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 256Event APEX 48.17Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 24.57Rank 30Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 20.57Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 478 ±9.9
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 20.57Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 19.03Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 47.73Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9094, 11104, 5401
66
/ 100 compatProjected
93.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9094, 11104, 5401
Auto
12.7 14%
Teleop
55.2 62%
Endgame
21.3 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4342, 1807, 1218
62
/ 100 compatProjected
87.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4342, 1807, 1218
Auto
8.9 10%
Teleop
54.5 63%
Endgame
22.6 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score93.3pts
Blue projected score87.3pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 6
- Score range
- 70–110
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
431.1Season APEX478
12.7Auto8.9
55.2Teleop54.5
21.3Endgame22.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 44 |
| teleop | 59 | 95 |
| endgame | 5 | 58 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 81 | 197 |
Result
Final score
81 – 197
Prediction missed · off by 61 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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