Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
59.37 – 70.37
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
82 – 76
Prediction missed · off by 14.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 136.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 23.97Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 13.69Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 21.71Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181.4 ±11.6
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 49.14Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 7.54Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 13.69Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5789, 8721, 10400
53
/ 100 compatProjected
59.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5789, 8721, 10400
Auto
10.0 17%
Teleop
32.2 54%
Endgame
17.7 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9416, 2722, 1257
55
/ 100 compatProjected
70.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9416, 2722, 1257
Auto
12.9 18%
Teleop
44.7 63%
Endgame
13.8 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score59.4pts
Blue projected score70.4pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -11
- Score range
- 42–87
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
136.5Season APEX181.4
10Auto12.9
32.2Teleop44.7
17.7Endgame13.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 4 |
| teleop | 52 | 44 |
| endgame | 18 | 28 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 82 | 76 |
Result
Final score
82 – 76
Prediction missed · off by 14.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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