Qualification · Qualification 64
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
16.84 – 114.34
23%77%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
18 – 125
Prediction correct · off by 5.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 10.51Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 2.35Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 3.98Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 509 ±9.9
Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 30.11Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 22.95Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 61.28Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4652, 7414, 9416
7
/ 100 compatProjected
16.8 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4652, 7414, 9416
Auto
9.7 58%
Teleop
13.0 78%
Endgame
-6.0 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1807, 5732, 1640
64
/ 100 compatProjected
114.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1807, 5732, 1640
Auto
23.4 20%
Teleop
58.4 51%
Endgame
32.4 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 1.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score16.8pts
Blue projected score114.3pts
Red win probability23%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -97.5
- Score range
- -3–134
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
135.7Season APEX509
9.7Auto23.4
13Teleop58.4
-6Endgame32.4
14Consistency4
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 31 |
| teleop | 4 | 56 |
| endgame | 3 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 18 | 125 |
Result
Final score
18 – 125
Prediction correct · off by 5.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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