Qualification · Qualification 61
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
146.67 – 59.43
75%25%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
99 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 30.41Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 24.6Event APEX 2.3Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 113.96Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 100Event APEX 19.94Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 22.52Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 16.97Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10400, 8704, 103
69
/ 100 compatProjected
146.7 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10400, 8704, 103
Auto
26.1 18%
Teleop
97.5 69%
Endgame
18.6 13%
Strengths
- · 103 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1712, 1923, 8714
42
/ 100 compatProjected
59.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 1712, 1923, 8714
Auto
11.1 21%
Teleop
31.3 59%
Endgame
10.7 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 0.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score146.7pts
Blue projected score59.4pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 87.2
- Score range
- 39–167
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
336.6Season APEX249.2
26.1Auto11.1
97.5Teleop31.3
18.6Endgame10.7
31Consistency12
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 16 |
| teleop | 48 | 13 |
| endgame | 15 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 99 | 44 |
Result
Final score
99 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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