Qualification · Qualification 58
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
57.91 – 39.67
56%44%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 86
Prediction missed · off by 34.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 132.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 19.94Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 11.21Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 26.76Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 129.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 14.85Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 24.6Event APEX -0.61Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 25.43Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8714, 4652, 1257
38
/ 100 compatProjected
57.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 8714, 4652, 1257
Auto
8.6 15%
Teleop
37.6 67%
Endgame
10.3 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2720, 8704, 5789
35
/ 100 compatProjected
39.7 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2720, 8704, 5789
Auto
13.3 30%
Teleop
18.7 42%
Endgame
12.5 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.19
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score57.9pts
Blue projected score39.7pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 18.2
- Score range
- 20–78
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
132.2Season APEX129.5
8.6Auto13.3
37.6Teleop18.7
10.3Endgame12.5
23Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 25 |
| teleop | 13 | 34 |
| endgame | 4 | 2 |
| foul | 0 | 25 |
| total | 36 | 86 |
Result
Final score
36 – 86
Prediction missed · off by 34.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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