Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.69 – 121.64

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 19 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 172.8 ±11.6

11104Phoenix Phanatics

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 19.99Rank 30Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4342Demon Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 25.8Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 19.9Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.4 ±11.7

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX -2.55Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 104.75Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1647Iron Devils

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 19.44Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11104, 4342, 10157

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11104, 4342, 10157

Auto

21.7 35%

Teleop

28.0 45%

Endgame

12.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7414, 1218, 1647

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7414, 1218, 1647

Auto

17.4 14%

Teleop

68.4 57%

Endgame

35.0 29%

Strengths

· 1218 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.7pts

Blue projected score121.6pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.9
Score range: 46–142
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 111.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

172.8Season APEX306.4

21.7Auto17.4

28Teleop68.4

12.7Endgame35

0Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	37
teleop	19	108
endgame	17	6
foul	0	0
total	57	151

Result

Final score

57 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 19 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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