Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.04 – 224.8

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 106.2 ±12.7

10400DART Doane Academy Robotics Team

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 26.3Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4637BambieBotz

Season APEX 9.6Event APEX -6.21Rank 32Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2722Charge Robotics

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 22.95Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 565.8 ±9.9

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 106.99Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 14.23Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 103.58Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10400, 4637, 2722

/ 100 compat

Projected

43 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10400, 4637, 2722

Auto

9.8 23%

Teleop

17.7 41%

Endgame

16.0 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 103, 5732, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 103, 5732, 9094

Auto

26.4 12%

Teleop

140.7 65%

Endgame

50.2 23%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43pts

Blue projected score224.8pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -181.8
Score range: 23–245
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 109.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

106.2Season APEX565.8

9.8Auto26.4

17.7Teleop140.7

16Endgame50.2

51Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	44
teleop	41	205
endgame	21	66
foul	0	0
total	75	315

Result

Final score

75 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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