Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.42 – 158.29

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.9 ±11.7

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 28.47Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 3.88Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8704Void Warranty

Season APEX 24.6Event APEX -0.93Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.8 ±10.5

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 22.68Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1257Parallel Universe

Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 28.26Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 107.35Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1923, 9416, 8704

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1923, 9416, 8704

Auto

8.5 32%

Teleop

25.0 95%

Endgame

-7.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10157, 1257, 1218

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10157, 1257, 1218

Auto

24.3 16%

Teleop

86.5 56%

Endgame

44.5 29%

Strengths

· 1218 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score31.4pts

Blue projected score158.3pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -126.9
Score range: 11–178
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 177 vs event baseline 110.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.9Season APEX376.8

8.5Auto24.3

25Teleop86.5

-7.1Endgame44.5

21Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	25
teleop	16	103
endgame	7	11
foul	0	0
total	38	139

Result

Final score

38 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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