Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

174.7 – 51.97

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 619.8 ±9.3

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 52.6Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 101.16Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5789The Other Owls

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 20.94Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 88.4 ±13.3

8721Code Name M.I.T.

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 32.35Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4637BambieBotz

Season APEX 9.6Event APEX -3.19Rank 32Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11104Phoenix Phanatics

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 22.81Rank 30Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1640, 103, 5789

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1640, 103, 5789

Auto

34.9 20%

Teleop

108.7 63%

Endgame

27.7 16%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8721, 4637, 11104

/ 100 compat

Projected

52 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8721, 4637, 11104

Auto

21.6 44%

Teleop

22.2 45%

Endgame

5.5 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score174.7pts

Blue projected score52pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 122.7
Score range: 32–195
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 110.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

619.8Season APEX88.4

34.9Auto21.6

108.7Teleop22.2

27.7Endgame5.5

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	15
teleop	141	2
endgame	65	3
foul	0	0
total	238	20

Result

Final score

238 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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