Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

161.26 – 51.55

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

197 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 386.4 ±10.5

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 10.48Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 84.89Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 65.89Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.5 ±12.7

4652Ironmen 2

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 12.73Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4342Demon Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 29.95Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

834SparTechs

Season APEX 86Event APEX 8.87Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5732, 1391, 7587

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 1391, 7587

Auto

34.7 21%

Teleop

102.9 63%

Endgame

26.0 16%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4652, 4342, 834

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4652, 4342, 834

Auto

10.0 18%

Teleop

26.8 49%

Endgame

17.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score161.3pts

Blue projected score51.6pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.7
Score range: 32–181
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 110.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

386.4Season APEX166.5

34.7Auto10

102.9Teleop26.8

26Endgame17.4

47Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	15
teleop	119	16
endgame	25	11
foul	20	0
total	197	42

Result

Final score

197 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.