Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.51 – 151.1

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 334 ±10.5

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 32.15Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 26.45Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX -0.09Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405.1 ±10.5

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 13.94Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10400DART Doane Academy Robotics Team

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 29.87Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 107.29Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1807, 1712, 7414

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1807, 1712, 7414

Auto

14.3 27%

Teleop

20.4 38%

Endgame

18.3 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 365, 10400, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 365, 10400, 9094

Auto

7.5 5%

Teleop

97.7 65%

Endgame

45.2 30%

Strengths

· 9094 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.5pts

Blue projected score151.1pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.6
Score range: 39–171
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 109.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

334Season APEX405.1

14.3Auto7.5

20.4Teleop97.7

18.3Endgame45.2

0Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	28
teleop	27	43
endgame	11	37
foul	0	5
total	50	113

Result

Final score

50 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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