Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
68.38 – 183.58
19%81%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
139 – 250
Prediction correct · off by 68.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 436 ±11.2
Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 44.59Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 30.99Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 24.6Event APEX -7.2Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 555.9 ±10.7
Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 96.16Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 79.9Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 7.52Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1640, 5401, 8704
41
/ 100 compatProjected
68.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 1640, 5401, 8704
Auto
19.2 31%
Teleop
38.0 61%
Endgame
4.6 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 103, 1391, 1647
79
/ 100 compatProjected
183.6 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 103, 1391, 1647
Auto
39.2 22%
Teleop
118.0 66%
Endgame
21.0 12%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.09
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score68.4pts
Blue projected score183.6pts
Red win probability19%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -115.2
- Score range
- 48–204
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
436Season APEX555.9
19.2Auto39.2
38Teleop118
4.6Endgame21
39Consistency65
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 38 | 44 |
| teleop | 74 | 178 |
| endgame | 27 | 28 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 139 | 250 |
Result
Final score
139 – 250
Prediction correct · off by 68.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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