Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.67 – 66.42

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 28 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 117 ±13.3

8130Absegami Robotics

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 21.17Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8721Code Name M.I.T.

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 16.34Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4342Demon Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 26.16Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 109.2 ±12.7

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 23.87Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10400DART Doane Academy Robotics Team

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 26Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8714Robo Griffins'

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 16.55Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8130, 8721, 4342

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8130, 8721, 4342

Auto

22.4 35%

Teleop

21.9 34%

Endgame

19.6 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5732, 10400, 8714

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 10400, 8714

Auto

14.5 22%

Teleop

41.8 63%

Endgame

10.0 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.7pts

Blue projected score66.4pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2.7
Score range: 44–86
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 74 vs event baseline 110.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

117Season APEX109.2

22.4Auto14.5

21.9Teleop41.8

19.6Endgame10

0Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	12
teleop	22	13
endgame	0	14
foul	0	0
total	35	39

Result

Final score

35 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 28 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.