Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
83.97 – 111.14
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
47 – 112
Prediction correct · off by 18.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.8 ±11
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 35.3Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 14.25Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 34.42Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 366.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 86Event APEX 12.47Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 256Event APEX 106.18Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 24.6Event APEX -7.51Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1257, 2554, 1923
48
/ 100 compatProjected
84 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 1257, 2554, 1923
Auto
8.2 11%
Teleop
50.1 69%
Endgame
14.8 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 834, 9094, 8704
55
/ 100 compatProjected
111.1 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 834, 9094, 8704
Auto
4.4 4%
Teleop
72.1 65%
Endgame
34.4 31%
Strengths
- · 9094 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score84pts
Blue projected score111.1pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -27.2
- Score range
- 64–131
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
219.8Season APEX366.6
8.2Auto4.4
50.1Teleop72.1
14.8Endgame34.4
41Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 25 |
| teleop | 24 | 70 |
| endgame | 6 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 47 | 112 |
Result
Final score
47 – 112
Prediction correct · off by 18.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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