Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
256.25 – 41.35
94%6%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
332 – 59
Prediction correct · off by 46.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 620.6 ±9.3
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 109.17Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 61.38Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 85.7Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 104.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 6.48Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 7.21Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 27.66Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1218, 7587, 103
78
/ 100 compatProjected
256.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1218, 7587, 103
Auto
32.5 13%
Teleop
162.2 65%
Endgame
55.4 22%
Strengths
- · 1218 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5732, 1647, 8721
32
/ 100 compatProjected
41.4 pts
~0.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5732, 1647, 8721
Auto
19.1 46%
Teleop
16.7 40%
Endgame
5.9 14%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score256.3pts
Blue projected score41.4pts
Red win probability94%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 214.9
- Score range
- 22–275
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
620.6Season APEX104.2
32.5Auto19.1
162.2Teleop16.7
55.4Endgame5.9
79Consistency104
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 51 | 24 |
| teleop | 192 | 10 |
| endgame | 89 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 332 | 59 |
Result
Final score
332 – 59
Prediction correct · off by 46.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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