Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.77 – 129.26

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.7 ±12.1

834SparTechs

Season APEX 86Event APEX 15.43Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 12.81Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 1.53Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 498.9 ±9.8

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 16.04Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 29.33Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 83.89Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 834, 5732, 7414

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 834, 5732, 7414

Auto

9.4 31%

Teleop

23.9 80%

Endgame

-3.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 365, 1923, 103

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 365, 1923, 103

Auto

9.6 8%

Teleop

85.3 70%

Endgame

27.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score29.8pts

Blue projected score129.3pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -99.5
Score range: 11–148
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 105.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155.7Season APEX498.9

9.4Auto9.6

23.9Teleop85.3

-3.3Endgame27.2

43Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	33
teleop	4	91
endgame	1	5
foul	0	30
total	16	159

Result

Final score

16 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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