Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

234.71 – 110.04

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 511.5 ±8.8

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 158.96Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 36Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5789The Other Owls

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 39.75Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.5 ±10.4

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 59.45Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5401Fightin' Robotic Owls

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 26.33Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 24.26Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 190, 1807, 5789

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 190, 1807, 5789

Auto

50.6 22%

Teleop

129.3 55%

Endgame

54.9 23%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7587, 5401, 1712

/ 100 compat

Projected

110 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7587, 5401, 1712

Auto

22.4 21%

Teleop

60.8 56%

Endgame

24.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score234.7pts

Blue projected score110pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 124.7
Score range: 91–254
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 104.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

511.5Season APEX341.5

50.6Auto22.4

129.3Teleop60.8

54.9Endgame24.5

0Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	26
teleop	67	77
endgame	87	31
foul	0	0
total	187	134

Result

Final score

187 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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