Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

60.9 – 5.01

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

56 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 13.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 115.1 ±12.7

10400DART Doane Academy Robotics Team

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 28.36Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1647Iron Devils

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 14.3Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4342Demon Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 18.24Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 115 ±12.8

2554The Warhawks

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 12.92Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4652Ironmen 2

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX -0.88Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8704Void Warranty

Season APEX 24.6Event APEX -7.03Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10400, 1647, 4342

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10400, 1647, 4342

Auto

3.0 5%

Teleop

29.9 48%

Endgame

30.0 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2554, 4652, 8704

/ 100 compat

Projected

5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2554, 4652, 8704

Auto

1.9 26%

Teleop

1.7 23%

Endgame

3.7 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.9pts

Blue projected score5pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.9
Score range: -14–80
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 84 vs event baseline 106.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

115.1Season APEX115

3Auto1.9

29.9Teleop1.7

30Endgame3.7

76Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	11
teleop	25	15
endgame	11	2
foul	0	0
total	56	28

Result

Final score

56 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 13.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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