Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.56 – 122.98

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.4 ±11.7

5789The Other Owls

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 36.27Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 23.48Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1647Iron Devils

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 21.81Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.1 ±12.4

4637BambieBotz

Season APEX 9.6Event APEX -2.83Rank 32Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 112.16Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8714Robo Griffins'

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 13.65Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5789, 10157, 1647

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5789, 10157, 1647

Auto

22.0 27%

Teleop

38.4 47%

Endgame

21.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4637, 103, 8714

/ 100 compat

Projected

123 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4637, 103, 8714

Auto

20.6 17%

Teleop

74.6 62%

Endgame

24.4 20%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.6pts

Blue projected score123pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.4
Score range: 61–144
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 224 vs event baseline 116.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.4Season APEX327.1

22Auto20.6

38.4Teleop74.6

21.9Endgame24.4

7Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	18
teleop	37	101
endgame	37	19
foul	0	0
total	86	138

Result

Final score

86 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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