Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.34 – 224.54

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.8 ±11.6

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 17.36Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 33.83Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4342Demon Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 25.15Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 565.3 ±9.3

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 106.06Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5789The Other Owls

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 36.05Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 82.43Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5732, 1923, 4342

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 1923, 4342

Auto

17.5 24%

Teleop

37.0 51%

Endgame

18.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9094, 5789, 1391

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9094, 5789, 1391

Auto

28.7 13%

Teleop

144.1 64%

Endgame

51.4 23%

Strengths

· 9094 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.3pts

Blue projected score224.5pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -148.2
Score range: 57–244
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 104.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.8Season APEX565.3

17.5Auto28.7

37Teleop144.1

18.2Endgame51.4

37Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	52
teleop	37	162
endgame	11	20
foul	0	0
total	54	234

Result

Final score

54 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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