Qualification · Qualification 22
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
139.24 – 18.67
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
93 – 114
Prediction missed · off by 70.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 398.9 ±11.2
Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 68.09Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 38.2Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 32.95Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.6 ±11
Season APEX 132.9Event APEX -3.11Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 21.24Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 0.54Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1640, 10157, 8130
76
/ 100 compatProjected
139.2 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 1640, 10157, 8130
Auto
21.9 16%
Teleop
77.6 58%
Endgame
35.1 26%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5401, 5789, 5732
18
/ 100 compatProjected
18.7 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5401, 5789, 5732
Auto
10.4 49%
Teleop
16.5 77%
Endgame
-5.5 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 0.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score139.2pts
Blue projected score18.7pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 120.6
- Score range
- 1–157
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
398.9Season APEX230.6
21.9Auto10.4
77.6Teleop16.5
35.1Endgame-5.5
62Consistency204
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 35 |
| teleop | 48 | 65 |
| endgame | 6 | 9 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 93 | 114 |
Result
Final score
93 – 114
Prediction missed · off by 70.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.