Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

200.81 – 56.5

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

172 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 31.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 428.5 ±9.8

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 87.02Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 110.45Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 3.34Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.5 ±12.2

4652Ironmen 2

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 11.77Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 19.18Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2722Charge Robotics

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 25.55Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7587, 9094, 9416

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7587, 9094, 9416

Auto

28.3 14%

Teleop

112.0 56%

Endgame

60.1 30%

Strengths

· 9094 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4652, 1712, 2722

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4652, 1712, 2722

Auto

16.5 29%

Teleop

23.3 40%

Endgame

17.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score200.8pts

Blue projected score56.5pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 144.3
Score range: 36–222
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 116.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

428.5Season APEX196.5

28.3Auto16.5

112Teleop23.3

60.1Endgame17.9

0Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	7
teleop	110	8
endgame	33	7
foul	0	0
total	172	22

Result

Final score

172 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 31.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.