Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

40.85 – 257.83

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

21 – 416

Prediction correct · off by 89 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 103.4 ±13.3

4652Ironmen 2

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 12.06Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8130Absegami Robotics

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 33.45Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX -4.66Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 740.8 ±8.1

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 63.77Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 72.01Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 122.05Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4652, 8130, 5732

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4652, 8130, 5732

Auto

1.3 3%

Teleop

22.6 59%

Endgame

14.1 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9094, 1218, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9094, 1218, 190

Auto

46.7 18%

Teleop

160.9 62%

Endgame

50.9 20%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.49 · Blue 2.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score40.9pts

Blue projected score257.8pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -217
Score range: 23–276
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 437 vs event baseline 99.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

103.4Season APEX740.8

1.3Auto46.7

22.6Teleop160.9

14.1Endgame50.9

145Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	39
teleop	10	238
endgame	0	139
foul	0	0
total	21	416

Result

Final score

21 – 416

Prediction correct · off by 89 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.