Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

126.33 – 127.95

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

159 – 299

Prediction correct · off by 101.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 508.6 ±9.3

2554The Warhawks

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 11.74Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 64.15Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 50.44Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 564.6 ±10.2

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 77.54Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8721Code Name M.I.T.

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 12.75Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 37.66Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2554, 9094, 1807

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2554, 9094, 1807

Auto

33.9 28%

Teleop

67.4 55%

Endgame

21.7 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 190, 8721, 1640

/ 100 compat

Projected

128 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 190, 8721, 1640

Auto

27.9 22%

Teleop

90.8 71%

Endgame

9.9 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.3pts

Blue projected score128pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.6
Score range: 109–145
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 458 vs event baseline 95.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

508.6Season APEX564.6

33.9Auto27.9

67.4Teleop90.8

21.7Endgame9.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	72
teleop	89	154
endgame	65	73
foul	5	0
total	159	299

Result

Final score

159 – 299

Prediction correct · off by 101.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.