Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
138.47 – 21.73
81%19%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
17 – 80
Prediction missed · off by 89.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 150 ±12.2
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 58.3Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 28.1Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 52.07Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 8.78Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 8.3Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100Event APEX 4.65Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9416, 8714, 4342
87
/ 100 compatProjected
138.5 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9416, 8714, 4342
Auto
21.6 15%
Teleop
82.3 59%
Endgame
36.0 26%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1647, 365, 1712
17
/ 100 compatProjected
21.7 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 1647, 365, 1712
Auto
-1.8 0%
Teleop
0.6 3%
Endgame
20.1 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 0.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score138.5pts
Blue projected score21.7pts
Red win probability81%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 24%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 116.7
- Score range
- 5–155
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
150Season APEX248.3
21.6Auto-1.8
82.3Teleop0.6
36Endgame20.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 1 | 0 |
| teleop | 12 | 50 |
| endgame | 4 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 17 | 80 |
Result
Final score
17 – 80
Prediction missed · off by 89.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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