Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

228.68 – 252.03

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

204 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.6 ±9.3

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 4.27Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 113.11Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 111.3Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 517.9 ±9.5

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 10.23Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 82.48Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 159.32Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9416, 103, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9416, 103, 9094

Auto

35.9 16%

Teleop

134.9 61%

Endgame

51.4 23%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5732, 1218, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

252 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 1218, 190

Auto

45.3 19%

Teleop

138.1 58%

Endgame

56.4 24%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score228.7pts

Blue projected score252pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.3
Score range: 208–273
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 458 vs event baseline 114.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.6Season APEX517.9

35.9Auto45.3

134.9Teleop138.1

51.4Endgame56.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	63
teleop	102	128
endgame	77	63
foul	0	0
total	204	254

Result

Final score

204 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 pts

Match videos

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