Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

227.43 – 248.27

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

237 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 8.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.6 ±9.3

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 3.85Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 112.67Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 110.91Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 509.4 ±10.2

8704Void Warranty

Season APEX 24.6Event APEX 5.73Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 82.93Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 159.61Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9416, 103, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9416, 103, 9094

Auto

33.5 15%

Teleop

140.7 63%

Endgame

50.0 22%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8704, 1218, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8704, 1218, 190

Auto

46.7 19%

Teleop

139.9 58%

Endgame

55.2 23%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score227.4pts

Blue projected score248.3pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.8
Score range: 207–268
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 478 vs event baseline 113.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.6Season APEX509.4

33.5Auto46.7

140.7Teleop139.9

50Endgame55.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	64
teleop	92	105
endgame	61	52
foul	30	20
total	237	241

Result

Final score

237 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 8.4 pts

Match videos

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