Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

399.7 – 94.64

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

443 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 24 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 637.1 ±8.7

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 146.23Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

433Firebirds

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 28.28Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 225.19Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 168.4 ±12.2

2458Team Chaos

Season APEX 64Event APEX 24.44Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

428BoroBlasters

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 40.53Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1279Cold Fusion

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 29.67Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 484, 433, 5895

/ 100 compat

Projected

399.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 484, 433, 5895

Auto

75.3 19%

Teleop

229.1 57%

Endgame

97.3 24%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2458, 428, 1279

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2458, 428, 1279

Auto

30.2 36%

Teleop

36.5 43%

Endgame

18.2 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score399.7pts

Blue projected score94.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 305.1
Score range: 68–427
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 533 vs event baseline 152.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

637.1Season APEX168.4

75.3Auto30.2

229.1Teleop36.5

97.3Endgame18.2

46Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	102	22
teleop	230	49
endgame	111	19
foul	0	0
total	443	90

Result

Final score

443 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 24 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.