Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.57 – 53.27

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

101 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 1.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 344.1 ±12.4

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 65.01Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9424E.O. JAG BOTS

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 7.33Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6860Equitum Robotics

Season APEX 44.8Event APEX 27.23Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 163.1 ±12.4

433Firebirds

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 29.69Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3340Union City EagleX Robotics

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 4.8Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8130Absegami Robotics

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 18.78Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1403, 9424, 6860

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1403, 9424, 6860

Auto

25.0 25%

Teleop

57.9 58%

Endgame

17.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 433, 3340, 8130

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 433, 3340, 8130

Auto

24.9 45%

Teleop

12.1 22%

Endgame

18.3 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.6pts

Blue projected score53.3pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 46.3
Score range: 26–127
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 153 vs event baseline 151.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

344.1Season APEX163.1

25Auto24.9

57.9Teleop12.1

17.3Endgame18.3

8Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	23
teleop	48	14
endgame	15	15
foul	0	0
total	101	52

Result

Final score

101 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 1.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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