Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.16 – 92.85

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

112 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 25 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.1 ±9.9

5407Wolfpack Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 41.37Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

433Firebirds

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 31.85Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 67.94Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 154 ±12.7

428BoroBlasters

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 41.32Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6897Astraea Robotics

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 14.84Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4573Rambotics

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 36.69Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5407, 433, 1403

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5407, 433, 1403

Auto

34.1 25%

Teleop

63.9 47%

Endgame

37.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 428, 6897, 4573

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 428, 6897, 4573

Auto

26.3 31%

Teleop

29.8 35%

Endgame

27.9 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141.2pts

Blue projected score92.9pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 48.3
Score range: 66–168
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 184 vs event baseline 152.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.1Season APEX154

34.1Auto26.3

63.9Teleop29.8

37.4Endgame27.9

19Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	28
teleop	40	23
endgame	26	21
foul	0	0
total	112	72

Result

Final score

112 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 25 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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